CHARGED ALPHATMFrontier AI stock research

AUR · NasdaqGS

Aurora Innovation, Inc.

Auto Parts · United States

USD 4.601.1% daily changeQuote 2026-11-11 · USD
Market cap (USD)
US$9.29B
Trailing P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Quarterly revenue growth
200.0%
Trailing net margin
0.0%
Indicated dividend yield
—

Snapshot 2026-11-11 · Latest financial period 2026-09-30 · Yahoo Finance. Quotes may be delayed; reporting periods can differ.

Company background

Aurora Innovation, Inc. engages in the self-driving technology business in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate various vehicle types and applications. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Company website

Q3 2026

Go beyond the headline.

AUR Stock: Revenue Outlook Cut 40% — Who Funds the Delay? | Q3 2026 Earnings

Published 2026-11-02

Q3 2026 REPORT HIGHLIGHTS

What’s changed for AUR

Aurora cut its 2026 revenue outlook as truck production slipped. We test the cash runway, potential dilution and valuation of the continuing AUR common shares.

  1. The schedule moved, not just the share price.

    Management says production is about six weeks behind its prior plan. The 200-truck milestone moves from year-end to the end of February, and full-year revenue falls to about $9 million.

  2. A billion-dollar financing window is not a billion dollars in the bank.

    The October 28 prospectus resets ATM availability to $1 billion. At a constant $4.41, full utilization would add roughly 227 million shares before fees; actual proceeds, price and timing are unknown.

  3. Count both common-share classes.

    The October 21 cover-page count is 2.020 billion Class A plus Class B shares. At $4.41 that implies $8.91 billion of common equity value, above the provider’s $7.52 billion field.

  4. Commercial progress is real, but commitments have different strength.

    More than 20 trucks are built and entering the fleet; the Charger 500-truck MOU is explicitly nonbinding. Neither is equivalent to 500 producing trucks or booked backlog.

  5. Our call is price-sensitive.

    Three disclosed valuation routes center near $2.50. We need repeatable output, a funded path and binding customer conversion before paying for the optimistic long-term case.

Comparable businesses

AUR peer comparison

Same business group first, then company size. Preferred market cap: 0.5–2x; extended range: one-third–3x. Outside that range, industry benchmarks are labeled separately and excluded from peer medians.

Comparison stocks

Market metrics · missing or inapplicable values shown as —
MetricAURAurora Innovation, Inc.Snapshot 2026-11-11Financial period: 2026-09-30ALVAutoliv, Inc.Snapshot 2026-11-11Financial period: 2026-09-30MBLYMobileye Global Inc.Snapshot 2026-11-11Financial period: 2026-09-26Peer medianSimilar-size peers only
Market capMarket value, converted to USDUS$9.29BUS$8.74BUS$4.91BUS$6.83Bn=2
Forward P/EProvider forward earnings estimate—10.58x11.86x11.22xn=2
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value / trailing EBITDA—6.77x——
Revenue growthLatest quarter vs prior-year quarter200.0%-0.5%-2.4%-1.4%n=2
Operating marginLatest reported quarter-14,357.1%10.2%-18.0%-3.9%n=2
Free cash flow yieldTrailing cash flow / market cap-4.9%8.9%13.7%11.3%n=2
Net debt / EBITDANet debt / trailing EBITDA—1.21x——
Debt / equityTotal debt / positive book equity0.04x0.85x0.01x0.43xn=2
Trailing P/ETrailing twelve-month earnings—14.59x——
Price / bookPrice / positive book equity per share5.16x3.55x0.60x2.08xn=2
EV / salesEnterprise value / trailing revenue1,177.01x0.96x1.69x1.32xn=2
Earnings growthLatest quarter vs prior-year quarter—-6.6%——
Gross marginTrailing twelve months0.0%19.2%48.6%33.9%n=2
Net marginTrailing twelve months0.0%5.6%-201.2%-97.8%n=2
Return on equityProvider trailing return; positive equity only-45.7%24.8%-40.0%-7.6%n=2
Free cash flow marginTrailing free cash flow / revenue-6,501.8%7.0%33.5%20.3%n=2
Dividend yieldIndicated annual dividend / price—3.3%——
Earnings payoutProvider trailing dividend payout—41.8%——
Current ratioCurrent assets / current liabilities9.68x1.02x4.44x2.73xn=2
BetaProvider historical market sensitivity2.871.371.291.33n=2

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Comparison methodology & limitations

Reviewed operating groups override broad sector classifications. Other companies are matched only within a sufficiently specific provider industry. Business mix, geography and accounting standards can still differ. Market caps are converted to USD using exchange rates captured during the snapshot refresh. Financial ratios that would mix currencies are omitted. Snapshots must be at most 14 days old and no more than seven days apart for automatic selection.

Peer medians require at least two valid similar-size peers for each metric. Negative earnings, nonpositive equity, missing data and irrelevant bank ratios are not presented as attractive valuations. A higher or lower number is not automatically a better investment. Financial statement periods are not calendar-aligned across companies.

Reported performance

Financial trends

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Market context

Valuation & price history

Adjusted closing price

Price history

Price history loads separately.

Earnings-multiple scenario

Illustrative price = your earnings-per-share assumption × your P/E assumption. This is not a price target or a complete valuation model.

Starting assumptions, when available, use provider forward estimates as of 2026-11-11. Negative earnings require a different valuation method. This calculation omits balance-sheet, dilution and execution risks.

THE RESEARCH RECORD

Research history for AUR

All available reporting periods
Q3 20262026-11-02
Q2 20262026-07-30

Reported figures

Verify material figures against company filings. Market data and AI-assisted analysis may contain errors.